Saturday, December 2, 2023

The Dunning-Kruger Effect

 Introduction

The Dunning-Kruger Effect has been stated in several ways but the basic concept is that the less knowledgeable you are on a topic the more likely you are to overestimate how good you are. This concept has recently become quite popular for attacking anyone who disagrees with the establishment experts on a topic. It is being abused to shut down discussion by simply claiming you don't know enough to be competent on the topic. In many ways, it has become a way for those pushing it to casually dismiss any line of thinking that challenges their worldview. While insisting that you bow the knee intellectually to the priests they call experts and whose claims they accept on blind faith.

The Dunning-Kruger Effect is based on a 1999 psychology paper called:

Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments

by

Justin Kruger and David Dunning

Cornell University

This paper probably would have remained an obscure psychological study had it not been popularized by President Trump's political enemies. It has gone far beyond an attack on him personally to being used against anybody who thinks for themselves and comes to non-establishment conclusions. The funny thing is that most people who refer to the Dunning-Kruger Effect have clearly never read the original paper. Furthermore, even if they have they are taking on faith that the data says what the writers are claiming. They are clearly simply repeating and copying what they have heard or seen elsewhere without a bit of independent thought on the topic.

Friday, December 1, 2023

Planet Seems Too Big for Its Host Star

 



 Astronomers have discovered a plant that is unusually large for its host star. This planet while 13 times the size of Earth orbits a star called LHS 3154 which 1/9th the size of the sun. This planet also orbited the star in just 3.7 Earth days. The key problem for naturalistic theories of planetary formation is that a planet-forming disk around as a low-mass star as LHS 3154 is not expected to have enough solid mass to produce such a large planet. 

Reference: Astronomers spot ‘overweight’ planet that appears too big for tiny host star.

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